The More Things Change, The More Institutions Stay The Same

The More Things Change, The More Institutions Stay The Same

Every modern institution operates under an existential paradox. On one hand, it faces intense external pressure to declare its commitment to fairness, progress, equity, and radical innovation. On the other hand, its primary evolutionary imperative—the reason it was built and the mechanism that sustains its funding—is to preserve equilibrium and protect incumbents from downside risk. [1] How does a vast, sclerotic bureaucracy reconcile these two irreconcilable demands?

Simple: it builds an elaborate, highly visible theater of procedural compliance. It designs rubrics, publishes virtuous manifestos, mandates trainings, and launches specialized diversity committees. But when you bypass the public relations machinery and examine the cold, mathematical flows of capital, evaluations, and patent approvals, you discover the terrifying efficiency of institutional inertia. Institutions do not fight reform; they metabolize it into harmless rituals.

[1] Much like an ancient cathedral guild, which was ostensibly dedicated to the glory of the heavens, but was mostly concerned with ensuring nobody figured out a faster way to lay stone.

<<Support my work: book a keynote or briefing!>> Want to support my work but don't need a keynote from a mad scientist? Become a paid subscriber to this newsletter and recommend to friends!

Research Roundup

The Rhetorical Safety Valve of the Left

Despite decades of soaring rhetoric from self-proclaimed egalitarian political parties, systemic wealth concentration continues to march upward across the developed world. Whether you agree with these policies or not, they present a fascinating exploration of the roots of institutional failure.

A massive computational study analyzed 850,000 electoral manifesto statements matched to actual policy implementations across 12 OECD nations over a 50-year horizon (1970–2020) provides this very exploration, and its results point to "selective egalitarianism".

Even when explicitly equality-oriented parties seize power, they systematically shy away from the single top-end wealth and capital taxation. Facing electoral risk and organized resistance from elites, they pivot their policy portfolios toward pre-distribution, administrative buffering of the poor [1], and middle-class insurance schemes that spread diffuse costs without challenging structural power.

The result is a perpetual political loop: parties evoke equality as a rhetorical organizing principle while systematically constructing policy architectures that leave the core assets of the ultra-wealthy completely unthreatened. [2]

I do need to ask, though, is this truly an institutional “failing” or is it a friction between individual incentives (career progression) and institutional goals?

[1] Not that reliable, accessible healthcare is such a mediocre policy offering.

[2] We’ll see what comes to pass with California’s billionaire tax.

Accounting for Humans

"Accountability" is the management theorist’s favorite panacea for eliminating inefficiencies. And this includes racial bias. If you warn managers their performance reviews will be audited, monitored, or justified to third parties, bias will automatically attenuate. Fun fact: no.

A massive preregistered field experiment at a large enterprise (n = 3,266 managers rating 17,149 real employees) directly tested whether implementing explicit accountability interventions closed racial performance-evaluation gaps between White and minority workers. It did not.

The managers were not inattentive to the accountability instructions, nor was the study underpowered. Instead, when embedded in an actual organization with real social ties and existing political incentives, managers simply learn to generate plausible, policy-compliant rationalizations for their standard evaluations.

This fits clearly in the same camp as my research on the neuroscience of trust: managers are meaningfully different people in clean experimental conditions versus under the heavy cognitive and emotional load conditions in real life. Under those changes, they will write substantively difference assessments of the same person and believe them.

The Radical Idea Tax

Women remain severely underrepresented among patent holders, but there is a curious landscape to this effect: it only shows up in big, truly novel ideas. [1]

A natural language analysis of millions of US and international patents uncovered this surprising non-uniform pattern. With “conventional inventions”, which combine existing technologies in familiar ways, women inventors face virtually no patent-granting gap compared to men. In contrast, patents for unconventional ideas—the radical, high-risk conceptual leaps that actually drive transformative technological progress—drive the gap.

Crucially, women are disproportionately assigned to evaluate other women’s applicants applications. Whether intentional or not, these examiners possess less institutional tenure due to historical hiring pipelines. These junior examiners lack the expertise, career security, and institutional autonomy required to approve unconventional, paradigm-challenging claims.

The institutional machinery itself acts as an epistemic shock absorber, channeling marginalized creators directly into safe, incremental, and ultimately low-status technological cul-de-sacs.

[1] Another label for “big, novel” idea is “idea meriting a patent”. The fact that anything else receives patents would seem an obvious violation of both the novelty and nonobviousness requirements of patent protection. That’s a broken system for another day.

Takeaway

If you want to understand how a complex system remain resilient, whether that is ecosystems resisting collapse or political systems subverting change, look at the higher-order interactions between interactions. In politics, manifestos champion economic equality while systematically insulating the capital structure from taxation. In corporate life, accountability rubrics don't reduce evaluation gaps but do provide general counsel with immaculate documentation showing that the company complied with best practices. In technological innovation, bureaucratic pipelines approve incremental tinkering but impose invisible institutional frictions when an outsider violates prevailing norms.

Modern institutional design eliminates the need for overt villains. No shadowy cabal decides to maintain inequality or suppress breakthrough thinking [1]. The suppression is entirely procedural. It is encoded into risk matrices, evaluation rubrics, docket-assignment algorithms, and committee oversight rules. Every bureaucracy evolves toward an entropy machine whose primary output is the preservation of its own baseline.

[1] I’m not saying there are never villains, just that they aren’t needed. Self-perpetuating institutions dampen change by evolved design rather than autocratic decree.

Media Mentions

Another podcast? Well, the title of this one tells you that it is not my typical interview: 𝑨𝒏𝒅 𝑵𝒐𝒘 𝑳𝒐𝒗𝒆

Enjoy!

Follow me on LinkedIn or join my growing Bluesky! Or even..hey whats this...Instagram?

SciFi, Fantasy, & Me

Every now and then, It’s nice to setting into an old school space adventure. Whether Massif by Garth Nix is SciFi or Fantasy is debatable [1], but I largely enjoyed it. A creepy mystery, military adventuring, equal contempt for all forms of government, and a great narrator make for uncomplicated enjoyment.

[1] Floating space mountains is definitely not hard scifi.

Stage & Screen

  • October 19-23, Warsaw: So much good stuff is in the works for my first visit to Poland: students, entrepreneurs, policy makers and more.
  • October 24, London Town: A little interview with the BBC!
  • October 26, Bonn: It's on in Bonn!
  • October 28, Fayetteville, NC: This is a big maybe, but I've never spoken in North Carolina before.
  • October 29, San Diego: ...or maybe I'll be at UCSD for a book talk.
  • November 19, Bangkok: Finally back in East Asia!
    • Anyone in Australia want to piggyback on that trip?
  • December 7-8 NYC: The Kennedy Human Rights Center Gala!
  • Already next year: Helsinki, Orlando, Purdue, Curicao, Toronto, Monmouth, UMass, & NYC

Vivienne L'Ecuyer Ming

Follow more of my work at
Socos Labs The Human Trust
Possibility Institute Optoceutics
Kennedy Human Rights Center UCSD Cognitive Science
Crisis Venture Studios Inclusion Impact Index
Neurotech Collider Hub, UC Berkeley UCL Business School of Global Health